Dr. Andrei Stoiciu examines the limits of strategic frameworks that reduce Moldova’s future to the relationship between EU accession and the reintegration of Transnistria. He argues that serious foresight must also account for structural shifts: a major deterioration of Ukraine’s position, renewed Russian power near Moldova, European strategic retrenchment, an imposed regional settlement, internal fragmentation and the possibility of union with Romania. The analysis proposes eight strategic futures and asks a broader question: which political and security architecture can keep Moldova’s people and institutions free, democratic, prosperous and irreversibly anchored in Europe?